Coowonga QLD Property Investment
· 4702 · Score: 48/100 · Caution
Coowonga Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Coowonga QLD Investment Brief
CAUTION — 1.6% gross yield on a $1,070,512 median.
THE MARKET
Coowonga has compounded at 1.1%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,013,528 in 2021 is worth $1,070,512 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,130,700 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,070,512 | Units: $238,403
- Gross yield: 1.6% | Net yield: 0.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: 1.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 255 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $330/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $408/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$65,454/yr
- vs long-term rent: $17,160/yr (+281% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Bruce Highway Upgrade Program (Under Construction)
- Transport: Rockhampton station 24.0km away
BULL CASE
If Coowonga maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,231,089 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Coowonga pull back 10-15% from $1,070,512, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- North Lakes (QLD): $1,179,423 median, 3.0% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
- Murrumba Downs (QLD): $1,214,999 median, 3.1% yield, 17.5% 1yr growth
- Brendale (QLD): $830,027 median, 3.8% yield, 16.2% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Coowonga carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $963,461 – $1,177,563
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 1.1% + 10yr CAGR 3.2%
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4702
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
29,819
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Coowonga QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $330/wk median rent for Coowonga. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.