Chatsworth QLD Property Investment

Fraser Coast · 4570 · Score: 48/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$1.04M
Rental Yield
2.0%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$400/wk
Median Unit Price
$759K
Population
1,353
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
16.0%

Chatsworth Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$378.5/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$61K
AI Investment Analysis

Chatsworth QLD Investment Brief

CAUTION2.0% gross yield on a $1,041,342 median.

THE MARKET

Chatsworth has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $889,600 in 2021 is worth $1,041,342 today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,218,967 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,041,342 | Units: $759,413
  • Gross yield: 2.0% | Net yield: 0.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,353 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $400/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $378/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$60,787/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $20,800/yr (+192% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Bruce Highway Upgrade Program (under_construction)
  • Transport: Gympie North station 7.1km away

BULL CASE

If Chatsworth maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,197,543 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Chatsworth pull back 10-15% from $1,041,342, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
  • North Lakes (QLD): $1,179,423 median, 3.0% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
  • Redbank Plains (QLD): $911,047 median, 3.4% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Chatsworth carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $937,208$1,145,476
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (5568 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.8%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5568 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green4 yellow10 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
400 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.02 high impact
1yr Price Growth
16.02 medium impact
Population Growth
1.82 high impact
Median Household Income
1169 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
152.96 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
75.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.5 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

771

2020

1,182

2021

979

2022

1,028

2023

1,608

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4570

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

46,427

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Chatsworth QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $400/wk median rent for Chatsworth. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Chatsworth SS
PrimaryGovernment
4.6/10
James Nash SHS
SecondaryGovernment
5.4/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.