Caloundra QLD Property Investment

Sunshine Coast · 4551 · Score: 65/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.21M
Rental Yield
3.1%
Vacancy Rate
1.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$730/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.02M
Population
3,932
Days on Market
26 days
Annual Growth
6.0%

Caloundra Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$309.54/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$73K
AI Investment Analysis

Caloundra QLD Investment Brief

BUY3.1% gross yield on a $1,211,790 median.

THE MARKET

Caloundra has compounded at 3.9%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,000,805 in 2021 is worth $1,211,790 today. Properties are sitting on market for 26 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,467,253 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,211,790 | Units: $1,016,454
  • Gross yield: 3.1% | Net yield: 1.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 3,932 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $730/wk | Days on market: 26 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sunshine Coast Direct Rail (Announced)
  • Transport: Landsborough station 16.6km away

BULL CASE

If Caloundra maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,393,558 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Caloundra pull back 10-15% from $1,211,790, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
  • - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
  • Redbank Plains (QLD): $911,047 median, 3.4% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth
  • North Lakes (QLD): $1,179,423 median, 3.0% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Caloundra presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,090,611$1,332,969
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Active development pipeline (18324 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.9% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (3.8%/yr) driving demand
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
  • +Active market (26 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (18324 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green8 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.2 high impact
Days on Market
26 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
730 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.93 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.19 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.01 medium impact
Population Growth
3.78 high impact
Median Household Income
1489 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
75.35 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.8 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.13 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.63 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

3,419

2020

4,409

2021

3,818

2022

3,457

2023

3,221

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4551

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 6 of 10 — Average

Population

68,286

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Caloundra QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $730/wk median rent for Caloundra. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Caloundra SS
PrimaryGovernment
6.4/10
Caloundra SHS
SecondaryGovernment
6.2/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.