Caloundra QLD Property Investment
Sunshine Coast · 4551 · Score: 65/100 · Buy
Caloundra Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Caloundra QLD Investment Brief
BUY — 3.1% gross yield on a $1,211,790 median.
THE MARKET
Caloundra has compounded at 3.9%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,000,805 in 2021 is worth $1,211,790 today. Properties are sitting on market for 26 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,467,253 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,211,790 | Units: $1,016,454
- Gross yield: 3.1% | Net yield: 1.6%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 3,932 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $730/wk | Days on market: 26 (stable)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Sunshine Coast Direct Rail (Announced)
- Transport: Landsborough station 16.6km away
BULL CASE
If Caloundra maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,393,558 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Caloundra pull back 10-15% from $1,211,790, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
- - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
- Redbank Plains (QLD): $911,047 median, 3.4% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth
- North Lakes (QLD): $1,179,423 median, 3.0% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Caloundra presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,090,611 – $1,332,969
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.9% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%
- +Strong population growth (3.8%/yr) driving demand
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
- +Active market (26 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (18324 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
3,419
2020
4,409
2021
3,818
2022
3,457
2023
3,221
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4551
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
68,286
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Caloundra QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $730/wk median rent for Caloundra. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.