Bongaree QLD Property Investment

Sunshine Coast · 4507 · Score: 60/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$865K
Rental Yield
4.2%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$690/wk
Median Unit Price
$731K
Population
8,162
Days on Market
36 days
Annual Growth
13.0%

Bongaree Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$495.81/night
Occupancy Rate
44%
Est. Annual Revenue
$80K
AI Investment Analysis

Bongaree QLD Investment Brief

HOLD4.2% gross yield on a $864,500 median.

THE MARKET

Bongaree has compounded at 3.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $717,428 in 2021 is worth $864,500 today. Properties are sitting on market for 36 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,041,722 by 2031.

  • Median house: $864,500 | Units: $730,738
  • Gross yield: 4.2% | Net yield: 2.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 8,162 | Owner-occupier rate: 73% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $690/wk | Days on market: 36 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $496/night | Occupancy: 44%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,627/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $35,880/yr (+122% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Kippa-Ring station 17.7km away

BULL CASE

If Bongaree maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $994,175 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bongaree pull back 10-15% from $864,500, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Flood risk: HIGH (qld_elevation_proxy) — order a flood certificate for the specific address before commit

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
  • Redbank Plains (QLD): $911,047 median, 3.4% yield, 16.6% 1yr growth
  • Yarrabilba (QLD): $918,351 median, 3.6% yield, 19.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Bongaree offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.7%.

  • Entry range: $778,050$950,950
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Active development pipeline (18324 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.8% + 10yr CAGR 3.9%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (2.6%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (18324 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green6 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
36 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
690 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.83 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.94 high impact
1yr Price Growth
13.01 medium impact
Population Growth
2.59 high impact
Median Household Income
961 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
45.11 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
73 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.15 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.65 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

3,419

2020

4,409

2021

3,818

2022

3,457

2023

3,221

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 4507

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

20,612

Education (IEO)

3/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bongaree QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $690/wk median rent for Bongaree. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.