Berrinba QLD Property Investment
Brisbane · 4117 · Score: 63/100 · Hold
Berrinba Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Berrinba QLD Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.4% gross yield on a $991,986 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Berrinba has compounded at 1.6%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $991,986 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 22 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $991,986 (pending peer validation) | Units: $785,853
- Gross yield: 3.4% | Net yield: 1.9%
- 5yr price CAGR: 1.6%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 2,615 | Owner-occupier rate: 55% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.2% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
- Median weekly rent: $645/wk | Days on market: 22 (improving)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $383/night | Occupancy: 44%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$61,449/yr
- vs long-term rent: $33,540/yr (+83% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games Infrastructure (Announced)
- Transport: Woodridge station 3.3km away
BULL CASE
If Berrinba maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.8%, median prices could reach $1,140,784 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Berrinba pull back 10-15% from $991,986, with vacancy rising to 2.2% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
- Ellen Grove (QLD): $878,386 median, 3.7% yield, 18.6% 1yr growth
- Waterford (QLD): $997,414 median, 3.5% yield, 6.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Berrinba offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $892,787 – $1,091,185
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 1.6% + 10yr CAGR 1.5%
- +Strong population growth (2.7%/yr) driving demand
- +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.2%) — upward price pressure
- +Active market (22 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (39794 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
7,221
2020
8,891
2021
8,353
2022
8,044
2023
7,285
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 4117
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
2,954
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
5/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Berrinba QLD data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $645/wk median rent for Berrinba. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.