Arundel QLD Property Investment

Arundel has compounded at 4.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,067,985 in 2021 is worth $1,343,689 today. Properties are sitting on market for 38 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,690,566 by 2031.

• Median house: $1,343,689 | Units: $909,346
• Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
• 5yr price CAGR: 4.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
• Population: 11,171 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: High

• Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

• Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
• Median weekly rent: $900/wk | Days on market: 38 (stable)
• Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

• Median nightly rate: $338/night | Occupancy: 44%
• Estimated annual STR gross: ~$54,353/yr
• vs long-term rent: $46,800/yr (+16% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

• Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 3 (Operational)
• Transport: Parkwood station 2.2km away

If Arundel maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $1,545,242 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Arundel pull back 10-15% from $1,343,689, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

• Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
• - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

• Springfield Lakes (QLD): $1,070,949 median, 3.2% yield, 13.0% 1yr growth
• Waterford (QLD): $997,414 median, 3.5% yield, 6.6% 1yr growth
• Wishart (QLD): $1,618,366 median, 2.6% yield, 23.1% 1yr growth

Arundel offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

• Entry range: $1,209,320 – $1,478,058
• Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
• Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.