Airlie Beach QLD Property Investment

Airlie Beach has compounded at 2.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $933,484 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions).

• Median house: $933,484 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $724,286
• Gross yield: 4.0% | Net yield: 2.5%
• 5yr price CAGR: 2.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
• Population: 1,312 | Owner-occupier rate: 55% | Affluence: Above Average

• Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

• Vacancy: 2.5% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
• Median weekly rent: $713/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
• Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

• Median nightly rate: $458/night | Occupancy: 44%
• Estimated annual STR gross: ~$73,545/yr
• vs long-term rent: $37,076/yr (+98% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

• No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
• Transport: Proserpine station 20.8km away

If Airlie Beach maintains 6%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $1,073,507 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Airlie Beach pull back 10-15% from $933,484, with vacancy rising to 4.5% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

• Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
• - Flood risk: MODERATE (qld_elevation_proxy) — part of the suburb sits near waterways or in a mapped flood-prone area

• North Lakes (QLD): $1,179,423 median, 3.0% yield, 12.4% 1yr growth
• Dakabin (QLD): $1,050,257 median, 3.1% yield, 7.0% 1yr growth
• Griffin (QLD): $960,000 median, 3.7% yield, 14.0% 1yr growth

Airlie Beach offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.5%.

• Entry range: $840,136 – $1,026,832
• Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
• Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.