Tennant Creek NT Property Investment
Barkly · 0860 · Score: 57/100 · Hold
Tennant Creek Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Tennant Creek NT Investment Brief
HOLD — 13.4% gross yield on a $214,000 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Tennant Creek has compounded at 1.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $214,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $214,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 13.4% | Net yield: 11.9%
- 5yr price CAGR: 1.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 9.1%/yr
- Population: 3,080 | Owner-occupier rate: 23% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $542/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,084/yr
- vs long-term rent: $28,600/yr (+177% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Tennant Creek maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $246,100 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tennant Creek pull back 10-15% from $214,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Adelaide River (NT): $232,679 median, 4.5% yield, 1.6% 1yr growth
- Mataranka (NT): $272,172 median, 1.5% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Batchelor (NT): $264,666 median, 5.9% yield, 8.4% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Tennant Creek offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 13.9%.
- Entry range: $192,600 – $235,400
- Minimum gross yield to target: 13.7%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 1.4% + 10yr CAGR 6.2%
- −High supply pipeline (128 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
36
2020
21
2021
3
2022
20
2023
48
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 0860
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
3,080
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Tennant Creek NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Tennant Creek. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Analyse a Property in Tennant Creek
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Tennant Creek.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.