Pine Creek NT Property Investment
Victoria Daly · 0847 · Score: 35/100 · Caution
Pine Creek Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Pine Creek NT Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.6% gross yield on a $172,350 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Pine Creek sits at $172,350 (pending peer validation) with 45 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.
- Median house: $172,350 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: -4.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 318 | Owner-occupier rate: 45% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $120/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $196/night | Occupancy: 27%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$19,197/yr
- vs long-term rent: $6,240/yr (+208% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Pine Creek maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $198,202 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Pine Creek pull back 10-15% from $172,350, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Tennant Creek (NT): $214,000 median, 13.4% yield, -16.7% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Pine Creek carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $155,115 – $189,585
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 1yr growth 3.4% (heavily discounted — volatile)
- −Population decline (-0.6%/yr) — demand headwind
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
6
2020
7
2021
0
2022
13
2023
20
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 0847
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
318
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
1/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Pine Creek NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $120/wk median rent for Pine Creek. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Analyse a Property in Pine Creek
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.