Mataranka NT Property Investment

· 0852 · Score: 40/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$272K
Rental Yield
1.5%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$80/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
384
Days on Market
45 days
Annual Growth
N/A

Mataranka Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$160.17/night
Occupancy Rate
35.35%
Est. Annual Revenue
$23K
AI Investment Analysis

Mataranka NT Investment Brief

CAUTION1.5% gross yield on a $187,000$272,172 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Mataranka has compounded at 3.5%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $187,000$272,172 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 45 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $187,000$272,172 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 1.5% | Net yield: 0.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 3.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.1%/yr
  • Population: 384 | Owner-occupier rate: 20% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $80/wk | Days on market: 45 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $160/night | Occupancy: 35%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$20,666/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $4,160/yr (+397% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Mataranka maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $312,998 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Mataranka pull back 10-15% from $272,172, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Adelaide River (NT): $232,679 median, 4.5% yield, 1.6% 1yr growth
  • Jabiru (NT): $295,000 median, 6.2% yield, 0.1% 1yr growth
  • Daly River (NT): $301,492 median, 1.4% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Mataranka carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $244,955$299,389
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
High renter base (61%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.3%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 3.5% + 10yr CAGR 5.2%

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green2 yellow11 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
45 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
80 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
3.46 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.24 high impact
1yr Price Growth
No data medium impact
Population Growth
1.03 high impact
Median Household Income
1331 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
15.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
363.81 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
20.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.53 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.03 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 0852

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

8,735

Education (IEO)

1/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Mataranka NT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $80/wk median rent for Mataranka. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.