Woolooware NSW Property Investment

Sutherland · 2230 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.73M
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1425/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.15M
Population
5,060
Days on Market
58 days
Annual Growth
22.3%

Woolooware Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$505.88/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$74K
AI Investment Analysis

Woolooware NSW Investment Brief

BUY2.7% gross yield on a $2,730,278 median.

THE MARKET

Woolooware has compounded at 6.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,974,171 in 2021 is worth $2,730,278 today. Properties are sitting on market for 58 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $3,775,974 by 2031.

  • Median house: $2,730,278 | Units: $1,146,503
  • Gross yield: 2.7% | Net yield: 1.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 5,060 | Owner-occupier rate: 65% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,425/wk | Days on market: 58 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $506/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$73,858/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $74,100/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Woolooware maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $3,139,820 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Woolooware pull back 10-15% from $2,730,278, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Belfield (NSW): $1,923,552 median, 2.7% yield, -9.1% 1yr growth
  • Lovedale (NSW): $2,022,982 median, 1.4% yield, 14.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Woolooware presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,457,250$3,003,306
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (13.2% CAGR) — above national average
Outer suburban location (20.9km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (5667 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
11.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
10.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
9.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 13.2% + 10yr CAGR 9.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5667 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

11 green2 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
58 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1425 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
13.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
9.06 high impact
1yr Price Growth
22.3 medium impact
Population Growth
1.25 high impact
Median Household Income
2199 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
9 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
20.88 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
65.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.71 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.21 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,113

2020

1,488

2021

1,323

2022

998

2023

745

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2230

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

30,690

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Woolooware NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1425/wk median rent for Woolooware. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Burraneer Bay PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.8/10
Woolooware HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.