Woolloomooloo NSW Property Investment

Sydney · 2011 · Score: 56/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$2.75M
Rental Yield
2.0%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1050/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.25M
Population
3,792
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
-8.2%

Woolloomooloo Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$803.88/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$117K
AI Investment Analysis

Woolloomooloo NSW Investment Brief

HOLD2.0% gross yield on a $2,747,216 median.

THE MARKET

Woolloomooloo has compounded at 6.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $2,033,622 in 2021 is worth $2,747,216 today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $3,711,209 by 2031.

  • Median house: $2,747,216 | Units: $1,248,940
  • Gross yield: 2.0% | Net yield: 0.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 12.7%/yr
  • Population: 3,792 | Owner-occupier rate: 34% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,050/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $804/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$117,366/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $54,600/yr (+115% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • Beaches Link Tunnel (Sydney) (Announced)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If Woolloomooloo maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $3,159,298 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Woolloomooloo pull back 10-15% from $2,747,216, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Belfield (NSW): $1,923,552 median, 2.7% yield, -9.1% 1yr growth
  • Burwood (NSW): $3,015,360 median, 1.7% yield, 2.5% 1yr growth
  • Eastlakes (NSW): $2,195,176 median, 2.6% yield, 7.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Woolloomooloo offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $2,472,494$3,021,938
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.2% CAGR)
Inner city location — already gentrified or premium
High renter base (64%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (6957 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
5.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-3.0%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (6957 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green3 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1050 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.22 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
-2.58 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-8.2 medium impact
Population Growth
-3.02 high impact
Median Household Income
2041 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5 medium impact
Public Transport Score
10 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
1.21 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
33.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.99 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.49 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

753

2020

2,161

2021

1,184

2022

1,108

2023

1,751

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2011

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

18,187

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Woolloomooloo NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1050/wk median rent for Woolloomooloo. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Plunkett St PS
PrimaryGovernment
5/10
Inner Sydney HS
SecondaryGovernment
8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.