Woodville NSW Property Investment

Port Stephens · 2321 · Score: 60/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.67M
Rental Yield
2.0%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$640/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
440
Days on Market
39 days
Annual Growth
11.3%

Woodville Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$566.06/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$83K
AI Investment Analysis

Woodville NSW Investment Brief

HOLD2.0% gross yield on a $1,300,000$1,667,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Woodville sits at $1,300,000$1,667,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) with 39 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $1,300,000$1,667,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 2.0% | Net yield: 0.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -5.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 440 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $640/wk | Days on market: 39 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $566/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$82,645/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $33,280/yr (+148% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Hunter Valley Coal Chain Capacity Expansion (Under Procurement)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Woodville maintains 6%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,917,625 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Woodville pull back 10-15% from $1,667,500, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
  • Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Woodville offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,500,750$1,834,250
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Active development pipeline (2574 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
5.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.5%
p.a.

Basis: 1yr growth 11.3% (heavily discounted — volatile)

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (6.3%/yr) driving demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (2574 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green5 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
39 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
640 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-5.48 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.3 high impact
1yr Price Growth
11.31 medium impact
Population Growth
6.31 high impact
Median Household Income
1963 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
3.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
137.77 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
70.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.5 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

269

2020

688

2021

613

2022

652

2023

352

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2321

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

19,857

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Woodville NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $640/wk median rent for Woodville. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Iona PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.6/10
Maitland HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.