Wardell NSW Property Investment
Lismore · 2477 · Score: 52/100 · Hold
Wardell Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Wardell NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 4.1% gross yield on a $742,748 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Wardell sits at $742,748 with 29 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.
- Median house: $742,748 | Units: $541,902
- Gross yield: 4.1% | Net yield: 2.6%
- 5yr price CAGR: -11.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.2%/yr
- Population: 830 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $585/wk | Days on market: 29 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $431/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$62,908/yr
- vs long-term rent: $30,420/yr (+107% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Wardell maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $854,160 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wardell pull back 10-15% from $742,748, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
- Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth
- Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Wardell offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.6%.
- Entry range: $668,473 – $817,023
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 1yr growth 13.9% (heavily discounted — volatile)
- +Active market (29 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (764 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
153
2020
205
2021
178
2022
98
2023
130
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2477
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
12,899
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
7/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Wardell NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $585/wk median rent for Wardell. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.