Wagga Wagga NSW Property Investment
Narrandera · 2650 · Score: 54/100 · Hold
Wagga Wagga Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Wagga Wagga NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.9% gross yield on a $732,459 median.
THE MARKET
Wagga Wagga has compounded at 3.9%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $604,931 in 2021 is worth $732,459 today. Properties are sitting on market for 23 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $886,872 by 2031.
- Median house: $732,459 | Units: $414,959
- Gross yield: 3.9% | Net yield: 2.4%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 7,198 | Owner-occupier rate: 63% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $550/wk | Days on market: 23 (improving)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $433/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$63,163/yr
- vs long-term rent: $28,600/yr (+121% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- HumeLink Transmission Line (Under Procurement)
- Transport: Wagga Wagga station 1.6km away
BULL CASE
If Wagga Wagga maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $842,328 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Wagga Wagga pull back 10-15% from $732,459, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
- Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth
- Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Wagga Wagga offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.4%.
- Entry range: $659,213 – $805,705
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 4.3% + 10yr CAGR 3.5%
- +Above-average population growth (1.5%/yr)
- +Active market (23 days avg)
- −Moderate supply pipeline (60 approvals)
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
5
2020
13
2021
15
2022
14
2023
13
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2650
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
61,511
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Wagga Wagga NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $550/wk median rent for Wagga Wagga. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.