Ulong NSW Property Investment

Clarence Valley · 2450 · Score: 54/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$583K
Rental Yield
5.8%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$290K
Population
215
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
28.9%

Ulong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$324.8/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$77K
AI Investment Analysis

Ulong NSW Investment Brief

HOLD$583,188 median with 8.1%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Ulong has compounded at 8.1%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $395,076 in 2021 is worth $583,188 today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $860,869 by 2031.

  • Median house: $583,188 | Units: $289,926
  • Gross yield: 5.8% | Net yield: 4.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 8.1%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 215 | Owner-occupier rate: 66% | Affluence: Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $650/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Dorrigo station 21.6km away

BULL CASE

If Ulong maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $670,666 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Ulong pull back 10-15% from $583,188, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth
  • Aldavilla (NSW): $591,435 median, 4.2% yield, 3.4% 1yr growth
  • Millbank (NSW): $754,533 median, 3.3% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Ulong offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 6.3%.

  • Entry range: $524,869$641,507
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 6.1%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Strong capital growth (16.3% CAGR) — above national average
Active development pipeline (1378 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
10.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
9.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
8.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 16.3% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.5%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1378 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green7 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
16.34 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.41 high impact
1yr Price Growth
28.9 medium impact
Population Growth
1.52 high impact
Median Household Income
1386 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
434.49 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
4 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
66.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.8 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
4.3 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

144

2020

239

2021

364

2022

313

2023

318

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2450

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 4 of 10 — Average

Population

47,335

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Ulong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Ulong. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Ulong PS
PrimaryGovernment
5/10
Orara HS
SecondaryGovernment
3.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.