Tharbogang NSW Property Investment
Murrumbidgee · 2680 · Score: 56/100 · Hold
Tharbogang Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Tharbogang NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 5.8% gross yield on a $444,467 median.
THE MARKET
Tharbogang has compounded at 5.3%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $343,319 in 2021 is worth $444,467 today. Properties are sitting on market for 28 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $575,415 by 2031.
- Median house: $444,467 | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 5.8% | Net yield: 4.3%
- 5yr price CAGR: 5.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 9.0%/yr
- Population: 452 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $500/wk | Days on market: 28 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $530/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$77,362/yr
- vs long-term rent: $26,000/yr (+198% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Griffith Station station 6.5km away
BULL CASE
If Tharbogang maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $511,137 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tharbogang pull back 10-15% from $444,467, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Gladstone (NSW): $555,200 median, 4.5% yield, -18.7% 1yr growth
- Frederickton (NSW): $495,831 median, 5.1% yield, -4.8% 1yr growth
- East Kempsey (NSW): $480,884 median, 5.1% yield, 14.3% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Tharbogang offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 6.3%.
- Entry range: $400,020 – $488,914
- Minimum gross yield to target: 6.1%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 5.3% + 10yr CAGR 5.2%
- +Active market (28 days avg)
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
4
2020
4
2021
4
2022
7
2023
7
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2680
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
25,339
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Tharbogang NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $500/wk median rent for Tharbogang. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.