Tarcutta NSW Property Investment
Griffith · 2652 · Score: 53/100 · Hold
Tarcutta Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Tarcutta NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 6.7% gross yield on a $297,450–$497,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median.
THE MARKET
Tarcutta has compounded at 4.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $297,450–$497,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 28 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $297,450–$497,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 6.7% | Net yield: 5.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 425 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $382/wk | Days on market: 28 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $454/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$66,211/yr
- vs long-term rent: $19,864/yr (+233% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- HumeLink Transmission Line (Under Procurement)
- Transport: Willans Hill station 36.0km away
BULL CASE
If Tarcutta maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $342,068 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Tarcutta pull back 10-15% from $297,450, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Barmedman (NSW): $245,438 median, 4.0% yield, 8.0% 1yr growth
- Lightning Ridge (NSW): $230,019 median, 6.8% yield, 40.4% 1yr growth
- Torrington (NSW): $290,000 median, 7.2% yield, -14.7% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Tarcutta offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 7.2%.
- Entry range: $267,705 – $327,195
- Minimum gross yield to target: 7.0%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 13.5% + 10yr CAGR 7.4%
- +Active market (28 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (612 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
93
2020
107
2021
164
2022
110
2023
138
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2652
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
4,757
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Tarcutta NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $382/wk median rent for Tarcutta. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Tarcutta
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.