Sylvania NSW Property Investment

Sutherland · 2224 · Score: 67/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.12M
Rental Yield
2.8%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1155/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.29M
Population
10,749
Days on Market
60 days
Annual Growth
1.2%

Sylvania Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$932/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$136K
AI Investment Analysis

Sylvania NSW Investment Brief

HOLD2.8% gross yield on a $2,123,814 median.

THE MARKET

Sylvania has compounded at 0.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $2,051,016 in 2021 is worth $2,123,814 today. Properties are sitting on market for 60 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,199,195 by 2031.

  • Median house: $2,123,814 | Units: $1,294,689
  • Gross yield: 2.8% | Net yield: 1.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 0.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 10,749 | Owner-occupier rate: 77% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,155/wk | Days on market: 60 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $932/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$136,072/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $60,060/yr (+127% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Miranda station 3.2km away

BULL CASE

If Sylvania maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,442,386 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Sylvania pull back 10-15% from $2,123,814, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth
  • Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Sylvania offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,911,433$2,336,195
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Above-average capital growth (9.2% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (18.2km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Active development pipeline (5667 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
8.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
7.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
6.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 9.2% + 10yr CAGR 8.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5667 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green2 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
60 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1155 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
9.16 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.08 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.2 medium impact
Population Growth
0.48 high impact
Median Household Income
2085 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
6.7 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
18.19 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
77.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.83 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.33 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,113

2020

1,488

2021

1,323

2022

998

2023

745

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2224

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

14,559

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Sylvania NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1155/wk median rent for Sylvania. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Sylvania Hts PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.8/10
Sylvania HS
SecondaryGovernment
6.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.