Suffolk Park NSW Property Investment

Suffolk Park has compounded at 16.7%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,495,000–$2,187,761 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 54 days (buyers have negotiating room).

• Median house: $1,495,000–$2,187,761 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $1,171,859
• Gross yield: 3.1% | Net yield: 1.6%
• 5yr price CAGR: 16.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 11.0%/yr
• Population: 4,222 | Owner-occupier rate: 61% | Affluence: High

• Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

• Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
• Median weekly rent: $1,300/wk | Days on market: 54 (worsening)
• Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

• Median nightly rate: $573/night | Occupancy: 40%
• Estimated annual STR gross: ~$83,640/yr
• vs long-term rent: $67,600/yr (+24% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

• No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
• Transport: Standard suburban transport access

If Suffolk Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $2,482,329 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Suffolk Park pull back 10-15% from $2,158,547, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

• Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
• - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

• Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
• Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
• Barrack Point (NSW): $1,711,063 median, 2.5% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth

Suffolk Park offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

• Entry range: $1,942,692 – $2,374,402
• Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
• Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.