Stuart Town NSW Property Investment
Dubbo · 2820 · Score: 46/100 · Caution
Stuart Town Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Stuart Town NSW Investment Brief
CAUTION — 8.1% gross yield on a $316,500 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.
THE MARKET
Stuart Town has compounded at 3.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $316,500 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 28 days (sellers have the leverage).
- Median house: $316,500 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 8.1% | Net yield: 6.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: 3.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 2.9%/yr
- Population: 241 | Owner-occupier rate: 67% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $490/wk | Days on market: 28 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $673/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$98,294/yr
- vs long-term rent: $25,480/yr (+286% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Stuart Town Station station 1.1km away
BULL CASE
If Stuart Town maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $363,975 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Stuart Town pull back 10-15% from $316,500, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Barmedman (NSW): $245,438 median, 4.0% yield, 8.0% 1yr growth
- Lightning Ridge (NSW): $230,019 median, 6.8% yield, 40.4% 1yr growth
- Batlow (NSW): $364,731 median, 5.2% yield, 11.7% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Stuart Town carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A cooling market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $284,850 – $348,150
- Minimum gross yield to target: 8.4%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 3.2% + 10yr CAGR 3.6%
- +Active market (28 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (1929 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
257
2020
458
2021
341
2022
393
2023
480
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2820
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
7,378
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Stuart Town NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $490/wk median rent for Stuart Town. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Stuart Town
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.