Stroud Road NSW Property Investment
Dungog · 2415 · Score: 49/100 · Caution
Stroud Road Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Stroud Road NSW Investment Brief
CAUTION — 3.9% gross yield on a $640,658 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Stroud Road sits at $640,658 (pending peer validation) with 34 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.
- Median house: $640,658 (pending peer validation) | Units: $521,532
- Gross yield: 3.9% | Net yield: 2.4%
- 5yr price CAGR: -8.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 242 | Owner-occupier rate: 76% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $480/wk | Days on market: 34 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Dungog station 18.4km away
BULL CASE
If Stroud Road maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $736,757 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Stroud Road pull back 10-15% from $640,658, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
- Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth
- Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Stroud Road carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A recovery market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $576,592 – $704,724
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 1yr growth 42.0% (heavily discounted — volatile)
- +Above-average population growth (1.9%/yr)
- −High supply pipeline (238 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
48
2020
62
2021
31
2022
51
2023
46
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2415
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
429
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Stroud Road NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $480/wk median rent for Stroud Road. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Stroud Road
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.