Soldiers Point NSW Property Investment

Port Stephens · 2317 · Score: 50/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$981K
Rental Yield
2.2%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$708/wk
Median Unit Price
$881K
Population
1,564
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
-10.9%

Soldiers Point Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$655.19/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$96K
AI Investment Analysis

Soldiers Point NSW Investment Brief

HOLD$981,250$1,405,212 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 14.2%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Soldiers Point has compounded at 14.2%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $981,250$1,405,212 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $981,250$1,405,212 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $881,414
  • Gross yield: 2.2% | Net yield: 0.7%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 14.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,564 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $708/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $655/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$95,658/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $36,816/yr (+160% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Newcastle Beach station 36.0km away

BULL CASE

If Soldiers Point maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,943,748 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Soldiers Point pull back 10-15% from $1,690,216, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
  • Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Soldiers Point offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,521,194$1,859,238
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Strong capital growth (14.2% CAGR) — above national average
Active development pipeline (2574 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
11.1%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
10.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
8.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 14.2% + 10yr CAGR 8.5%

Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (2574 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green6 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
708 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
14.18 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.47 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-10.9 medium impact
Population Growth
0.97 high impact
Median Household Income
1169 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
151.87 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
71.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.18 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.68 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

269

2020

688

2021

613

2022

652

2023

352

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2317

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

6,553

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Soldiers Point NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $708/wk median rent for Soldiers Point. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Soldiers Pt PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.7/10
Tomaree HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.