Smeaton Grange NSW Property Investment
Campbelltown (NSW) · 2567 · Score: 65/100 · Buy
Smeaton Grange NSW Investment Brief
BUY — 2.6% gross yield on a $1,460,150 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Smeaton Grange sits at $1,460,150 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) with 42 days on market and a 2.2% vacancy rate. This is a balanced market right now.
- Median house: $1,460,150 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $814,163
- Gross yield: 2.6% | Net yield: 1.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: -3.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: -3.4%/yr
- Population: 16 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.2% (worsening) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $720/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
- Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Macarthur station 5.5km away
BULL CASE
If Smeaton Grange maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,679,172 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Smeaton Grange pull back 10-15% from $1,460,150, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Negative price growth suggests a softening market
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Macquarie Fields (NSW): $1,027,033 median, 3.1% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
- Rainbow Reach (NSW): $1,214,696 median, 2.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
- Barrack Point (NSW): $1,711,063 median, 2.5% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Smeaton Grange presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,314,135 – $1,606,165
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
medium confidenceBasis: 3yr growth 7.5% (discounted)
- +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (6809 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
1,678
2020
1,679
2021
1,217
2022
1,030
2023
1,205
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2567
Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage
Population
40,951
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
10/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Smeaton Grange NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $720/wk median rent for Smeaton Grange. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.