Rosewood NSW Property Investment
Walcha · 2446 · Score: 52/100 · Hold
Rosewood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Rosewood NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 2.6% gross yield on a $1,153,357 median.
THE MARKET
Rosewood has compounded at 4.9%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $908,001 in 2021 is worth $1,153,357 today. Properties are sitting on market for 41 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,465,012 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,153,357 | Units: $394,314
- Gross yield: 2.6% | Net yield: 1.1%
- 5yr price CAGR: 4.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 15,054 | Owner-occupier rate: 75% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.6% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $575/wk | Days on market: 41 (stable)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $509/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$74,314/yr
- vs long-term rent: $29,900/yr (+149% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Rosewood maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.8%, median prices could reach $1,326,361 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Rosewood pull back 10-15% from $1,153,357, with vacancy rising to 4.7% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Lake Illawarra (NSW): $982,570 median, 3.4% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
- Turners Flat (NSW): $819,000 median, 3.0% yield, 21.3% 1yr growth
- Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Rosewood offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a cooling phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,038,021 – $1,268,693
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 8.8% + 10yr CAGR 4.2%
- +Above-average population growth (2.5%/yr)
- +Active market (29 days avg)
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
3
2020
2
2021
16
2022
7
2023
3
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2446
Decile 4 of 10 — Average
Population
15,054
Education (IEO)
3/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Rosewood NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $575/wk median rent for Rosewood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.