Point Piper NSW Property Investment

Woollahra · 2027 · Score: 64/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$14.41M
Rental Yield
1.1%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$3100/wk
Median Unit Price
$2.79M
Population
1,334
Days on Market
43 days
Annual Growth
6.3%
AI Investment Analysis

Point Piper NSW Investment Brief

HOLD$14,410,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median with 12.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Point Piper has compounded at 12.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $14,410,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 83 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $14,410,000 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $2,793,225
  • Gross yield: 1.1% | Net yield: -0.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 12.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 11.2%/yr
  • Population: 1,334 | Owner-occupier rate: 57% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $3,100/wk | Days on market: 83 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • Beaches Link Tunnel (Sydney) (Announced)
  • Transport: Edgecliff station 1.7km away

BULL CASE

If Point Piper maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $16,571,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Point Piper pull back 10-15% from $14,410,000, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Bellevue Hill (NSW): $11,420,850 median, 1.4% yield, -27.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Point Piper offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $12,969,000$15,851,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (12.9% CAGR) — above national average
Inner/middle ring location (3.9km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (39% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (666 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
8.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
7.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
6.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 12.9% + 10yr CAGR 3.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-1.0%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (666 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green5 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
43 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
3100 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
12.95 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.16 high impact
1yr Price Growth
6.3 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.96 high impact
Median Household Income
3027 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
42 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
3.85 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
56.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.12 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.38 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

109

2020

90

2021

146

2022

208

2023

113

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2027

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

7,810

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Point Piper NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $3100/wk median rent for Point Piper. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Double Bay PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.7/10
Rose Bay SC
SecondaryGovernment
8.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.