North Ryde NSW Property Investment

Ryde · 2113 · Score: 77/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.45M
Rental Yield
2.5%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1200/wk
Median Unit Price
$821K
Population
14,043
Days on Market
44 days
Annual Growth
29.3%

North Ryde Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$444.62/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$65K
AI Investment Analysis

North Ryde NSW Investment Brief

BUY$2,448,141 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median with 13.3%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

North Ryde has compounded at 13.3%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,448,141 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 44 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $2,448,141 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $820,847
  • Gross yield: 2.5% | Net yield: 1.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 13.3%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 14,043 | Owner-occupier rate: 50% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,200/wk | Days on market: 44 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $445/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$64,915/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $62,400/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Beaches Link Tunnel (Sydney) (Announced)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • NorthConnex Tunnel (Operational)
  • Parramatta Light Rail Stage 1 (Operational)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If North Ryde maintains 9%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,815,362 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in North Ryde pull back 10-15% from $2,448,141, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Belfield (NSW): $1,923,552 median, 2.7% yield, -9.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

North Ryde presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current boom phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,203,327$2,692,955
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (13.3% CAGR) — above national average
Inner/middle ring location (11.8km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (48%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (7651 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
11.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
10.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
9.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 13.3% + 10yr CAGR 7.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (8.5%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (7651 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green4 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
44 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1200 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
13.29 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.59 high impact
1yr Price Growth
29.3 medium impact
Population Growth
8.51 high impact
Median Household Income
2156 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
11.78 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
49.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.55 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.05 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,058

2020

2,246

2021

1,127

2022

1,797

2023

1,423

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2113

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

27,637

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on North Ryde NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1200/wk median rent for North Ryde. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Nth Ryde PS
PrimaryGovernment
8/10
Ryde SC
SecondaryGovernment
8.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.