Mount Austin NSW Property Investment

Narrandera · 2650 · Score: 49/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$484K
Rental Yield
4.1%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$490/wk
Median Unit Price
$413K
Population
4,035
Days on Market
33 days
Annual Growth
10.5%

Mount Austin Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$450.88/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$66K
AI Investment Analysis

Mount Austin NSW Investment Brief

## 1. Investment Verdict Hold – the Investment Scorecard of 48.0 / 100 flags a cautious outlook and is the key figure driving the recommendation.

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## 2. Market Overview - Median house price: $900,000$1,500,000 (peer sources disagree by >10%; use the full range). - Growth trend: not supplied in the data set. - Days on market: not supplied.

Signal: The wide median range indicates considerable price uncertainty. With a low investment score, buyers should expect modest upside and sellers may need to price competitively to attract interest.

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## 3. Rental Market - Vacancy rate: not supplied. - Weekly rent: not supplied. - Gross yield: cannot be calculated without rent data. - Demand rating: not supplied.

Implication: Without rental figures we cannot gauge cash‑flow strength. Investors should seek independent rent surveys before committing.

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## 4. Short‑Term Rental Opportunity - STR nightly rate: not supplied. - Occupancy rate: not supplied. - Estimated annual STR revenue: cannot be estimated.

Conclusion: In the absence of STR data, a long‑term rental (LTR) strategy remains the default assumption, but investors should verify local STR performance before shifting focus.

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## 5. Infrastructure & Growth Drivers - Known projects, transport links, employment base: not supplied.

Drivers/Limits: No concrete information is available, so we cannot identify specific catalysts or constraints for demand.

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## 6. Bull Case If the market stabilises and the investment score improves, capital growth could push the median toward the upper bound of the range. A plausible upside scenario would be a property moving from the lower end ($900,000) to the higher end ($1,500,000) – a ~67 % price increase. Without growth rates or rental data, we cannot attach a timeline.

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## 7. Risks | Risk | Quantified Element (if any) | Comment | |------|----------------------------|---------| | Vacancy risk | – | No vacancy data supplied; investors cannot size this risk. | | Single‑employer dependency | – | Employment base not disclosed; a reliance on one major employer would amplify risk if present. | | Supply pipeline | – | No data on upcoming developments; a surge in new stock could pressure prices and yields. | | Rate sensitivity | – | As with most Australian markets, higher interest rates could dampen buyer demand, but the magnitude is unknown. |

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## 8. The Play - Entry range: Target purchases toward the lower end of the median range, i.e. around $900,000$1,200,000, to build a margin of safety. - Minimum yield to target: Unable to calculate without rent figures; investors should aim for a gross yield of ≥ 4 % once reliable rent data is obtained. - Watch signals: 1. Any upward movement in the Investment Scorecard. 2. Publication of local rental surveys or vacancy statistics. 3. Announcement of infrastructure or employment projects in the suburb. - Recommended strategy: Adopt a hold stance while gathering missing data (rental returns, growth trends, infrastructure plans). Re‑evaluate when concrete rent or development information emerges; consider buying if the price sits near the lower median bound and yields meet the 4 % threshold.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification3.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Moderate capital growth (5.4% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (60 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
4.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.4% + 10yr CAGR 3.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.5%/yr)
Headwinds
  • Moderate supply pipeline (60 approvals)

Suburb Metric Thresholds

2 green12 yellow2 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
33 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
490 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.42 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
3.37 high impact
1yr Price Growth
10.5 medium impact
Population Growth
1.54 high impact
Median Household Income
1629 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7 medium impact
School Zone Quality
2.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
380.48 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
5 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
63.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
4.11 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.61 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

5

2020

13

2021

15

2022

14

2023

13

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2650

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

61,511

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Mount Austin NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $490/wk median rent for Mount Austin. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Mt Austin PS
PrimaryGovernment
3/10
Mt Austin HS
SecondaryGovernment
3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.