Moorebank NSW Property Investment
Liverpool · 2170 · Score: 63/100 · Hold
Moorebank Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Moorebank NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.2% gross yield on a $1,460,699 median.
THE MARKET
Moorebank has compounded at 5.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,144,496 in 2021 is worth $1,460,699 today. Properties are sitting on market for 60 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,864,263 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,460,699 | Units: $875,800
- Gross yield: 3.2% | Net yield: 1.7%
- 5yr price CAGR: 5.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 11,408 | Owner-occupier rate: 56% | Affluence: Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $900/wk | Days on market: 60 (worsening)
- Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $522/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$76,139/yr
- vs long-term rent: $46,800/yr (+63% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
- Parramatta Light Rail Stage 2 (Under Procurement)
- Parramatta Light Rail Stage 1 (Operational)
- Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Moorebank maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $1,679,804 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Moorebank pull back 10-15% from $1,460,699, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- No significant risk factors identified for this suburb
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
- Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
- Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Moorebank offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $1,314,629 – $1,606,769
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 5.0% + 10yr CAGR 7.8%
- +Above-average population growth (1.7%/yr)
- +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (11690 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
2,048
2020
2,373
2021
2,489
2022
2,541
2023
2,239
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2170
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
114,479
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Moorebank NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $900/wk median rent for Moorebank. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.