Moore Park NSW Property Investment

Randwick · 2021 · Score: 69/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.54M
Rental Yield
2.9%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1425/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.30M
Population
18
Days on Market
59 days
Annual Growth
-4.0%

Moore Park Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$493.56/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$72K
AI Investment Analysis

Moore Park NSW Investment Brief

BUY$2,540,565 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median with 8.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Moore Park has compounded at 8.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,540,565 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 59 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $2,540,565 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $1,300,568
  • Gross yield: 2.9% | Net yield: 1.4%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 8.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 8.1%/yr
  • Population: 18 | Owner-occupier rate: 51% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,425/wk | Days on market: 59 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $494/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$72,060/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $74,100/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If Moore Park maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,921,650 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Moore Park pull back 10-15% from $2,540,565, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
  • Belfield (NSW): $1,923,552 median, 2.7% yield, -9.1% 1yr growth
  • Burwood (NSW): $3,015,360 median, 1.7% yield, 2.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Moore Park presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.9% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current above_trend phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,286,508$2,794,622
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (7.0% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (3.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (46%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (1676 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
5.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.0% + 10yr CAGR 6.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.5%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (1676 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green2 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
59 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1425 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.96 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
6.82 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-4 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.48 high impact
Median Household Income
2823 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
9.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
3.15 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
51 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.92 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.42 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

336

2020

289

2021

318

2022

482

2023

251

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2021

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

14,946

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Moore Park NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1425/wk median rent for Moore Park. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Kensington PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.4/10
Inner Sydney HS
SecondaryGovernment
8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.