Menindee NSW Property Investment

Unincorporated NSW · 2879 · Score: 33/100 · Avoid

Median House Price
$136K
Rental Yield
5.4%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$140/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
537
Days on Market
36 days
Annual Growth
73.6%

Menindee Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$205.49/night
Occupancy Rate
33.1%
Est. Annual Revenue
$26K
AI Investment Analysis

Menindee NSW Investment Brief

PASS5.4% gross yield on a $135,557 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Menindee sits at $135,557 (pending peer validation) with 36 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.

  • Median house: $135,557 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 5.4% | Net yield: 3.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -11.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 537 | Owner-occupier rate: 58% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $140/wk | Days on market: 36 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $196/night | Occupancy: 34%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$24,016/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $7,280/yr (+230% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Menindee maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $155,891 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Menindee pull back 10-15% from $135,557, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Walgett (NSW): $109,576 median, 15.2% yield, 75.0% 1yr growth
  • Sunset Strip (NSW): $143,000 median, 5.1% yield, 18.2% 1yr growth
  • Collarenebri (NSW): $140,000 median, 8.1% yield, -2.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Menindee carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A stable market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $122,001$149,113
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 5.7%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
14.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.4%
p.a.

Basis: 1yr growth 73.6% (heavily discounted — volatile)

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-2.0%/yr) — demand headwind

Suburb Metric Thresholds

1 green5 yellow10 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
36 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
140 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-11.21 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
-1.17 high impact
1yr Price Growth
73.6 medium impact
Population Growth
-1.99 high impact
Median Household Income
841 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
8.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
3.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
1 medium impact
Distance to CBD
834.85 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
58.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
5.37 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
3.87 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

0

2020

0

2021

0

2022

0

2023

0

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2879

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

577

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Menindee NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $140/wk median rent for Menindee. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Menindee CS
PrimaryGovernment
No data
Menindee CS
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.