Llandilo NSW Property Investment
Blacktown · 2747 · Score: 70/100 · Buy
Llandilo Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Llandilo NSW Investment Brief
BUY — 2.1% gross yield on a $2,146,227 median.
THE MARKET
Llandilo has compounded at 6.0%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,603,786 in 2021 is worth $2,146,227 today. Properties are sitting on market for 54 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,872,136 by 2031.
- Median house: $2,146,227 | Units: $596,629
- Gross yield: 2.1% | Net yield: 0.6%
- 5yr price CAGR: 6.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 1,618 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
- Median weekly rent: $850/wk | Days on market: 54 (worsening)
- Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $474/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$69,268/yr
- vs long-term rent: $44,200/yr (+57% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
- Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
- New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
- Transport: Werrington station 6.0km away
BULL CASE
If Llandilo maintains 5%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $2,468,161 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Llandilo pull back 10-15% from $2,146,227, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Barrack Point (NSW): $1,711,063 median, 2.5% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
- Long Point (NSW): $2,700,000 median, 1.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth
- Diggers Camp (NSW): $1,775,000 median, 1.4% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Llandilo presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.1% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.
- Entry range: $1,931,604 – $2,360,850
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 6.0% + 10yr CAGR 24.3%
- +Strong population growth (5.1%/yr) driving demand
- +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
- −High supply pipeline (23731 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
4,430
2020
6,762
2021
5,751
2022
4,300
2023
2,488
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2747
Decile 5 of 10 — Average
Population
54,397
Education (IEO)
5/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
6/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Llandilo NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $850/wk median rent for Llandilo. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.