Leichhardt NSW Property Investment

Inner West · 2040 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.16M
Rental Yield
2.4%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1000/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.19M
Population
15,158
Days on Market
48 days
Annual Growth
4.1%

Leichhardt Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$529.94/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$77K
AI Investment Analysis

Leichhardt NSW Investment Brief

BUY2.4% gross yield on a $2,159,471 median.

THE MARKET

Leichhardt has compounded at 5.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,652,285 in 2021 is worth $2,159,471 today. Properties are sitting on market for 48 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,822,342 by 2031.

  • Median house: $2,159,471 | Units: $1,187,243
  • Gross yield: 2.4% | Net yield: 0.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 5.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 15,158 | Owner-occupier rate: 59% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,000/wk | Days on market: 48 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $530/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$77,371/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $52,000/yr (+49% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • WestConnex Motorway (Operational)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If Leichhardt maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,483,392 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Leichhardt pull back 10-15% from $2,159,471, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth
  • Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
  • Greenacre (NSW): $1,554,453 median, 3.2% yield, 10.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Leichhardt presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,943,524$2,375,418
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (5.5% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (5.1km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (39% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (3570 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
5.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 5.5% + 10yr CAGR 7.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (3570 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green5 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
48 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1000 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
5.53 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.32 high impact
1yr Price Growth
4.1 medium impact
Population Growth
0.5 high impact
Median Household Income
2727 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.6 medium impact
Distance to CBD
5.1 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59.4 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.41 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.91 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

995

2020

730

2021

514

2022

607

2023

724

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2040

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

22,803

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Leichhardt NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1000/wk median rent for Leichhardt. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Leichhardt PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.7/10
SSC Blackwattle Bay
SecondaryGovernment
No data
SSC Leichhardt
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.