La Perouse NSW Property Investment

Bayside (NSW) · 2036 · Score: 70/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.32M
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1200/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.87M
Population
366
Days on Market
77 days
Annual Growth
-29.3%

La Perouse Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$479.62/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$70K
AI Investment Analysis

La Perouse NSW Investment Brief

BUY$2,319,629 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median with 7.4%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

La Perouse has compounded at 7.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,319,629 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 77 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $2,319,629 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $1,872,250
  • Gross yield: 2.7% | Net yield: 1.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 7.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 3.8%/yr
  • Population: 366 | Owner-occupier rate: 55% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,200/wk | Days on market: 77 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $480/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$70,025/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $62,400/yr (+12% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Well-connected inner-city location

BULL CASE

If La Perouse maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,667,573 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in La Perouse pull back 10-15% from $2,319,629, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth
  • Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
  • Abbotsbury (NSW): $1,668,022 median, 3.1% yield, 14.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

La Perouse presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,087,666$2,551,592
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Above-average capital growth (7.4% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (13.5km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (42% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (4611 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
7.3%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 7.4% + 10yr CAGR 8.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (2.1%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • Slow market (77 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (4611 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green2 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
77 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1200 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
7.44 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.45 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-29.3 medium impact
Population Growth
2.12 high impact
Median Household Income
2050 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
50 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
13.51 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
55.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.69 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.19 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

472

2020

1,069

2021

739

2022

804

2023

1,527

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2036

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

33,767

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

5/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on La Perouse NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1200/wk median rent for La Perouse. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

La Perouse PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.4/10
Matraville Sp HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.8/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.