Kangaloon NSW Property Investment

Wingecarribee · 2576 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$2.72M
Rental Yield
1.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.7%
Median Weekly Rent
$800/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.78M
Population
206
Days on Market
29 days
Annual Growth
0.9%

Kangaloon Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$596.25/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$87K
AI Investment Analysis

Kangaloon NSW Investment Brief

HOLD1.5% gross yield on a $2,720,027 median.

THE MARKET

Kangaloon has compounded at 1.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $2,562,540 in 2021 is worth $2,720,027 today. Properties are sitting on market for 29 days (sellers have the leverage). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,887,193 by 2031.

  • Median house: $2,720,027 | Units: $1,781,767
  • Gross yield: 1.5% | Net yield: 0.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 206 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.7% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $800/wk | Days on market: 29 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $596/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$87,052/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $41,600/yr (+109% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Kangaloon maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.9%, median prices could reach $3,128,031 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Kangaloon pull back 10-15% from $2,720,027, with vacancy rising to 4.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Long Point (NSW): $2,700,000 median, 1.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth
  • Lovedale (NSW): $2,022,982 median, 1.4% yield, 14.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Kangaloon offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $2,448,024$2,992,030
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Stable / established1.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Active development pipeline (1697 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
10.9%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
10.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
8.7%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 1.2% + 10yr CAGR 26.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Active market (29 days avg)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1697 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green5 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.7 high impact
Days on Market
29 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
800 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
1.25 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
26.53 high impact
1yr Price Growth
0.87 medium impact
Population Growth
1.1 high impact
Median Household Income
1677 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
97.99 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
78.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.53 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.03 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

240

2020

429

2021

439

2022

298

2023

291

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2576

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

14,189

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Kangaloon NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Kangaloon. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Kangaloon PS
PrimaryGovernment
7/10
Bowral HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.