Jugiong NSW Property Investment
Hilltops · 2726 · Score: 51/100 · Hold
Jugiong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Jugiong NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 7.0% gross yield on a $310,000 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Jugiong sits at $310,000 (pending peer validation) with 21 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.
- Median house: $310,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 7.0% | Net yield: 5.5%
- 5yr price CAGR: -0.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: -0.6%/yr
- Population: 255 | Owner-occupier rate: 74% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (worsening) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $415/wk | Days on market: 21 (improving)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $537/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$78,438/yr
- vs long-term rent: $21,580/yr (+263% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- HumeLink Transmission Line (Under Procurement)
- Transport: Standard suburban transport access
BULL CASE
If Jugiong maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $356,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Jugiong pull back 10-15% from $310,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Negative price growth suggests a softening market
- - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Barmedman (NSW): $245,438 median, 4.0% yield, 8.0% 1yr growth
- Lightning Ridge (NSW): $230,019 median, 6.8% yield, 40.4% 1yr growth
- Old Bonalbo (NSW): $308,000 median, 6.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Jugiong offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 7.5%.
- Entry range: $279,000 – $341,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 7.3%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: National long-run average (no local data)
- +Strong population growth (2.8%/yr) driving demand
- +Active market (21 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (203 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-05
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
19
2020
33
2021
45
2022
51
2023
55
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2726
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
255
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
8/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Jugiong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $415/wk median rent for Jugiong. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.