Jordan Springs NSW Property Investment

Blacktown · 2747 · Score: 72/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.15M
Rental Yield
3.5%
Vacancy Rate
2.2%
Median Weekly Rent
$780/wk
Median Unit Price
$651K
Population
11,772
Days on Market
43 days
Annual Growth
9.9%
AI Investment Analysis

Jordan Springs NSW Investment Brief

BUY3.5% gross yield on a $1,153,605 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) median.

THE MARKET

Jordan Springs has compounded at 6.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,153,605 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 43 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $1,153,605 (single source — OnTheHouse only, no peer to validate) | Units: $651,099
  • Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 11,772 | Owner-occupier rate: 62% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.2% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $780/wk | Days on market: 43 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Jordan Springs maintains 5%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.5%, median prices could reach $1,326,646 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Jordan Springs pull back 10-15% from $1,153,605, with vacancy rising to 4.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Lake Illawarra (NSW): $982,570 median, 3.4% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
  • Blackett (NSW): $920,447 median, 2.9% yield, 9.7% 1yr growth
  • Macquarie Fields (NSW): $1,027,033 median, 3.1% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Jordan Springs presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.5% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,038,244$1,268,966
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.0% CAGR)
Mixed tenure (35% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (23731 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
13.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
12.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
10.9%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.0% + 10yr CAGR 24.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (5.1%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.2%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (23731 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green7 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.2 high impact
Days on Market
43 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
780 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.02 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
24.31 high impact
1yr Price Growth
9.9 medium impact
Population Growth
5.1 high impact
Median Household Income
1925 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
47.3 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
62.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.52 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.02 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,430

2020

6,762

2021

5,751

2022

4,300

2023

2,488

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2747

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 5 of 10 — Average

Population

54,397

Education (IEO)

5/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Jordan Springs NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $780/wk median rent for Jordan Springs. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Jordan Springs PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.5/10
Cranebrook HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.