Harwood NSW Property Investment
Clarence Valley · 2465 · Score: 54/100 · Hold
Harwood Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Harwood NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.5% gross yield on a $667,000 (pending peer validation) median.
THE MARKET
Harwood has compounded at 5.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $667,000 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 31 days (roughly balanced conditions).
- Median house: $667,000 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 3.5% | Net yield: 2.0%
- 5yr price CAGR: 5.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 346 | Owner-occupier rate: 68% | Affluence: Low
- Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $450/wk | Days on market: 31 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Grafton Station station 43.3km away
BULL CASE
If Harwood maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $767,050 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Harwood pull back 10-15% from $667,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
- Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth
- Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Harwood offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a above_trend phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.
- Entry range: $600,300 – $733,700
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 5.4% + 10yr CAGR 4.4%
- +Strong population growth (3.5%/yr) driving demand
- −High supply pipeline (1378 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
144
2020
239
2021
364
2022
313
2023
318
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2465
Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
346
Education (IEO)
1/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
2/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Harwood NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $450/wk median rent for Harwood. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Harwood
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.