Glenquarry NSW Property Investment

Wingecarribee · 2576 · Score: 57/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$2.87M
Rental Yield
1.4%
Vacancy Rate
2.7%
Median Weekly Rent
$800/wk
Median Unit Price
$3.13M
Population
261
Days on Market
66 days
Annual Growth
N/A

Glenquarry Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$565.5/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$83K
AI Investment Analysis

Glenquarry NSW Investment Brief

HOLD1.4% gross yield on a $2,873,560 median.

THE MARKET

Glenquarry has compounded at 1.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $2,707,184 in 2021 is worth $2,873,560 today. Properties are sitting on market for 66 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $3,050,161 by 2031.

  • Median house: $2,873,560 | Units: $3,134,633
  • Gross yield: 1.4% | Net yield: -0.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 1.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 0.7%/yr
  • Population: 261 | Owner-occupier rate: 78% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Development activity consistent with long-term averages

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.7% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $800/wk | Days on market: 66 (worsening)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $566/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$82,563/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $41,600/yr (+98% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Glenquarry maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.9%, median prices could reach $3,304,594 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Glenquarry pull back 10-15% from $2,873,560, with vacancy rising to 4.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Long Point (NSW): $2,700,000 median, 1.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth
  • Lovedale (NSW): $2,022,982 median, 1.4% yield, 14.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Glenquarry offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $2,586,204$3,160,916
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (20.4% CAGR) — above national average
Active development pipeline (1697 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
13.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
12.7%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 20.4% + 10yr CAGR 10.4%

Headwinds
  • Slow market (66 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (1697 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.7 high impact
Days on Market
66 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
800 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
20.36 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
10.36 high impact
1yr Price Growth
No data medium impact
Population Growth
1.1 high impact
Median Household Income
1677 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
98.57 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
78.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.45 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
-0.05 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

240

2020

429

2021

439

2022

298

2023

291

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2576

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

14,189

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Glenquarry NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Glenquarry. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Glenquarry PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.8/10
Bowral HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.