Glenbrook NSW Property Investment

Blue Mountains · 2773 · Score: 65/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.45M
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
2.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$760/wk
Median Unit Price
$866K
Population
5,078
Days on Market
53 days
Annual Growth
2.0%

Glenbrook Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$446.31/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$65K
AI Investment Analysis

Glenbrook NSW Investment Brief

BUY2.7% gross yield on a $1,448,091 median.

THE MARKET

Glenbrook has compounded at 6.5%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,056,934 in 2021 is worth $1,448,091 today. Properties are sitting on market for 53 days (buyers have negotiating room). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,984,010 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,448,091 | Units: $865,997
  • Gross yield: 2.7% | Net yield: 1.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 5,078 | Owner-occupier rate: 86% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.3% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $760/wk | Days on market: 53 (worsening)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $446/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$65,161/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $39,520/yr (+65% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Glenbrook maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.6%, median prices could reach $1,665,305 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Glenbrook pull back 10-15% from $1,448,091, with vacancy rising to 4.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Macquarie Fields (NSW): $1,027,033 median, 3.1% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
  • Barrack Point (NSW): $1,711,063 median, 2.5% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
  • North St Marys (NSW): $1,148,861 median, 2.6% yield, 10.2% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Glenbrook presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current cooling phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,303,282$1,592,900
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.5% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (790 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
6.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.5% + 10yr CAGR 8.4%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.3%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.1%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (790 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green3 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.3 high impact
Days on Market
53 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
760 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.47 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.45 high impact
1yr Price Growth
2 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.11 high impact
Median Household Income
2472 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
5.4 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.3 medium impact
Distance to CBD
55.66 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
86.5 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.73 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.23 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

147

2020

217

2021

164

2022

147

2023

115

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2773

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

5,978

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Glenbrook NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $760/wk median rent for Glenbrook. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Glenbrook PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.4/10
Blaxland HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.