Elands NSW Property Investment
Port Macquarie-Hastings · 2429 · Score: 38/100 · Caution
Elands Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Elands NSW Investment Brief
CAUTION — $598,000–$677,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 16.4%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Elands has compounded at 16.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $598,000–$677,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 85 days (buyers have negotiating room).
- Median house: $598,000–$677,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $359,000
- Gross yield: 3.7% | Net yield: 2.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: 16.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 178 | Owner-occupier rate: 79% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $480/wk | Days on market: 85 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Wingham station 27.4km away
BULL CASE
If Elands maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $779,125 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Elands pull back 10-15% from $677,500, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
- Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth
- Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Elands carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A boom market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $609,750 – $745,250
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
low confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 16.4%
- −Population decline (-0.1%/yr) — demand headwind
- −Slow market (85 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
- −High supply pipeline (3462 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
509
2020
675
2021
683
2022
996
2023
599
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2429
Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
9,650
Education (IEO)
2/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
3/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Elands NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $480/wk median rent for Elands. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
Analyse a Property in Elands
Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Elands.
Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.