Elands NSW Property Investment

Port Macquarie-Hastings · 2429 · Score: 38/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$678K
Rental Yield
3.7%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$480/wk
Median Unit Price
$359K
Population
178
Days on Market
85 days
Annual Growth
35.2%

Elands Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$141.57/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$34K
AI Investment Analysis

Elands NSW Investment Brief

CAUTION$598,000$677,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 16.4%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Elands has compounded at 16.4%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $598,000$677,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 85 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $598,000$677,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $359,000
  • Gross yield: 3.7% | Net yield: 2.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 16.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 178 | Owner-occupier rate: 79% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $480/wk | Days on market: 85 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Wingham station 27.4km away

BULL CASE

If Elands maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $779,125 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Elands pull back 10-15% from $677,500, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
  • Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth
  • Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Elands carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A boom market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $609,750$745,250
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Active gentrification6.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Strong capital growth (16.4% CAGR) — above national average
Active development pipeline (3462 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
13.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
12.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
10.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 16.4%

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.1%/yr) — demand headwind
  • Slow market (85 days avg) — buyer hesitancy
  • High supply pipeline (3462 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

3 green2 yellow11 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
85 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
480 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
16.41 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
-4.36 high impact
1yr Price Growth
35.2 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.14 high impact
Median Household Income
1126 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
4.9 medium impact
Distance to CBD
269.47 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
78.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.68 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.18 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

509

2020

675

2021

683

2022

996

2023

599

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2429

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

9,650

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Elands NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $480/wk median rent for Elands. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Elands PS
PrimaryGovernment
4.9/10
Wauchope HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.