Diamond Beach NSW Property Investment

Mid-Coast · 2430 · Score: 53/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.02M
Rental Yield
3.3%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$525K
Population
1,012
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
5.2%

Diamond Beach Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$709.17/night
Occupancy Rate
%
Est. Annual Revenue
$168K
AI Investment Analysis

Diamond Beach NSW Investment Brief

HOLD$1,022,468 median with 12.4%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Diamond Beach has compounded at 12.4%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $569,926 in 2021 is worth $1,022,468 today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $1,834,346 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,022,468 | Units: $524,906
  • Gross yield: 3.3% | Net yield: 1.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 12.4%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 1,012 | Owner-occupier rate: 69% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $650/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

Insufficient STR data for this suburb. Run a specific address analysis for property-level STR projections.

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Taree station 15.5km away

BULL CASE

If Diamond Beach maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,175,838 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Diamond Beach pull back 10-15% from $1,022,468, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Lake Illawarra (NSW): $982,570 median, 3.4% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
  • Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
  • Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Diamond Beach offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $920,221$1,124,715
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Above-average capital growth (9.6% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (2566 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
8.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
7.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
6.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 9.6% + 10yr CAGR 8.0%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.6%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (2566 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green5 yellow7 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
9.63 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.98 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.2 medium impact
Population Growth
1.61 high impact
Median Household Income
1107 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
6.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
239.13 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
2 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
68.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.31 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.81 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

414

2020

527

2021

572

2022

540

2023

513

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2430

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 2 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

36,841

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

3/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Diamond Beach NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Diamond Beach. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Hallidays Pt PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.5/10
GLC Snr C
SecondaryGovernment
No data
GLC Tuncurry
SecondaryGovernment
No data

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.