Currabubula NSW Property Investment

Tamworth · 2342 · Score: 54/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$431K
Rental Yield
7.8%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$650/wk
Median Unit Price
$393K
Population
339
Days on Market
31 days
Annual Growth
-34.2%

Currabubula Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$531.19/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$78K
AI Investment Analysis

Currabubula NSW Investment Brief

HOLD7.8% gross yield on a $431,454 (pending peer validation) median.

THE MARKET

Currabubula has compounded at 2.0%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $431,454 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 31 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $431,454 (pending peer validation) | Units: $393,341
  • Gross yield: 7.8% | Net yield: 6.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.0%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 339 | Owner-occupier rate: 76% | Affluence: Above Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $650/wk | Days on market: 31 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $531/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$77,554/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $33,800/yr (+129% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Werris Creek Station station 14.2km away

BULL CASE

If Currabubula maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $496,172 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Currabubula pull back 10-15% from $431,454, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Werris Creek (NSW): $342,492 median, 5.8% yield, 4.7% 1yr growth
  • Gladstone (NSW): $555,200 median, 4.5% yield, -18.7% 1yr growth
  • Frederickton (NSW): $495,831 median, 5.1% yield, -4.8% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Currabubula offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 8.3%.

  • Entry range: $388,309$474,599
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 8.1%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Active development pipeline (1610 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

low confidence
1yr Forecast
2.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
2.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.0% + 10yr CAGR 7.1%

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.3%/yr) — demand headwind
  • High supply pipeline (1610 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

6 green5 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
31 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
650 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.01 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.1 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-34.2 medium impact
Population Growth
-0.26 high impact
Median Household Income
1487 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2.4 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
293.69 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
75.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
7.83 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
6.33 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

251

2020

359

2021

338

2022

318

2023

344

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2342

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

465

Education (IEO)

6/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Currabubula NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $650/wk median rent for Currabubula. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Currabubula PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.8/10
Peel HS
SecondaryGovernment
3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.