Cudgen NSW Property Investment
Tweed · 2487 · Score: 57/100 · Hold
Cudgen Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Cudgen NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — $1,682,755 median with 11.2%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Cudgen has compounded at 11.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $989,685 in 2021 is worth $1,682,755 today. Properties are sitting on market for 31 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,861,178 by 2031.
- Median house: $1,682,755 | Units: $964,037
- Gross yield: 3.9% | Net yield: 2.4%
- 5yr price CAGR: 11.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 952 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: High
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $1,250/wk | Days on market: 31 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $543/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$79,214/yr
- vs long-term rent: $65,000/yr (+22% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- Gold Coast Light Rail Stage 4 (Airport Extension) (Under Procurement)
- Transport: Conservation station 17.3km away
BULL CASE
If Cudgen maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,935,168 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Cudgen pull back 10-15% from $1,682,755, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
- Georges Hall (NSW): $1,452,071 median, 3.3% yield, 7.7% 1yr growth
- Rainbow Reach (NSW): $1,214,696 median, 2.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Cudgen offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.4%.
- Entry range: $1,514,480 – $1,851,031
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 6.6% + 10yr CAGR 8.2%
- +Above-average population growth (2.4%/yr)
- −High supply pipeline (1502 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
211
2020
339
2021
381
2022
281
2023
290
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2487
Decile 7 of 10 — Average
Population
15,090
Education (IEO)
7/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
7/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Cudgen NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $1250/wk median rent for Cudgen. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.