Collector NSW Property Investment

Goulburn Mulwaree · 2581 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$805K
Rental Yield
3.8%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$590/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
376
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
5.4%

Collector Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$418.81/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$61K
AI Investment Analysis

Collector NSW Investment Brief

BUY$804,800 (pending peer validation) median with 15.5%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Collector has compounded at 15.5%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $804,800 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $804,800 (pending peer validation) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 3.8% | Net yield: 2.3%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 15.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 376 | Owner-occupier rate: 83% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $590/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $419/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$61,146/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $30,680/yr (+99% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Gunning Station station 21.7km away

BULL CASE

If Collector maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $925,520 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Collector pull back 10-15% from $804,800, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Lake Illawarra (NSW): $982,570 median, 3.4% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
  • Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
  • Hat Head (NSW): $678,789 median, 3.6% yield, 37.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Collector presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.8% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current boom phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $724,320$885,280
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (15.3% CAGR) — above national average
Active development pipeline (1309 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
12.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
11.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
9.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 15.3% + 10yr CAGR 7.6%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (3.7%/yr) driving demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1309 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green5 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
590 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
15.28 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.63 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.4 medium impact
Population Growth
3.66 high impact
Median Household Income
2118 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
200.84 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
83.1 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.81 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.31 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

230

2020

325

2021

377

2022

215

2023

162

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2581

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 9 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

2,507

Education (IEO)

8/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Collector NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $590/wk median rent for Collector. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Collector PS
PrimaryGovernment
7/10
Goulburn HS
SecondaryGovernment
4.9/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.