Byron Bay NSW Property Investment

Byron Shire · 2481 · Score: 68/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.57M
Rental Yield
2.7%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$1300/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.38M
Population
6,330
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
1.2%

Byron Bay Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$350/night
Occupancy Rate
68%
Est. Annual Revenue
$87K
AI Investment Analysis

Byron Bay NSW Investment Brief

BUY$1,570,000$2,533,676 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 16.7%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Byron Bay has compounded at 16.7%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,570,000$2,533,676 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $1,570,000$2,533,676 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $1,384,200
  • Gross yield: 2.7% | Net yield: 1.2%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 16.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 7.1%/yr
  • Population: 6,330 | Owner-occupier rate: 61% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $1,300/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $350/night | Occupancy: 68%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$86,870/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $67,600/yr (+29% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Byron Bay Bypass (completed)
  • North Byron Parklands (under_construction)
  • Transport: Standard suburban transport access

BULL CASE

If Byron Bay maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $2,863,677 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Byron Bay pull back 10-15% from $2,490,154, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity
  • - Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth
  • Pinkett (NSW): $2,650,000 median, 0.8% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth
  • Long Point (NSW): $2,700,000 median, 1.2% yield, 12.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Byron Bay presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and moderate rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.7% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current boom phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,241,139$2,739,169
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (18.2% CAGR) — above national average
Mixed tenure (35% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (1198 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
15.0%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.8%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
12.0%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 18.2% + 10yr CAGR 11.8%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (3.0%/yr) driving demand
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1198 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green6 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1300 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
18.17 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
11.8 high impact
1yr Price Growth
1.2 medium impact
Population Growth
3.02 high impact
Median Household Income
1792 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
5.1 medium impact
Public Transport Score
No data medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
623.49 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
7 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
60.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.71 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.21 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

302

2020

278

2021

208

2022

184

2023

226

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2481

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

13,659

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

6/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Byron Bay NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1300/wk median rent for Byron Bay. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Byron Bay PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.3/10
Byron Bay HS
SecondaryGovernment
7.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.