Burrawang NSW Property Investment

Shellharbour · 2577 · Score: 58/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.80M
Rental Yield
2.0%
Vacancy Rate
2.7%
Median Weekly Rent
$678/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
431
Days on Market
31 days
Annual Growth
-32.0%

Burrawang Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$740.75/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$108K
AI Investment Analysis

Burrawang NSW Investment Brief

HOLD$1,400,000$1,797,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 28.5%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Burrawang has compounded at 28.5%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $1,400,000$1,797,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 31 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $1,400,000$1,797,500 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 2.0% | Net yield: 0.5%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 28.5%/yr | 3yr forecast: 6.1%/yr
  • Population: 431 | Owner-occupier rate: 76% | Affluence: High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.7% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $678/wk | Days on market: 31 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $741/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$108,150/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $35,256/yr (+207% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Robertson station 7.1km away

BULL CASE

If Burrawang maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.9%, median prices could reach $2,067,125 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Burrawang pull back 10-15% from $1,797,500, with vacancy rising to 4.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Barrack Point (NSW): $1,711,063 median, 2.5% yield, 1.8% 1yr growth
  • Bunyah (NSW): $1,511,962 median, 1.6% yield, 2.3% 1yr growth
  • Diggers Camp (NSW): $1,775,000 median, 1.4% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Burrawang offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a boom phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,617,750$1,977,250
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Strong capital growth (13.2% CAGR) — above national average
Active development pipeline (3985 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
10.7%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
9.9%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
8.6%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 13.2% + 10yr CAGR 8.2%

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.6%/yr)
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (3985 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green4 yellow5 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2.7 high impact
Days on Market
31 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
678 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
13.24 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
8.21 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-32 medium impact
Population Growth
1.64 high impact
Median Household Income
1667 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
2.1 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.2 medium impact
Distance to CBD
103.27 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
8 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
75.7 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.96 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.46 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

751

2020

910

2021

980

2022

691

2023

653

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2577

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

16,724

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

9/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Burrawang NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $678/wk median rent for Burrawang. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Burrawang PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.2/10
Moss Vale HS
SecondaryGovernment
6.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.