Botany NSW Property Investment

Bayside (NSW) · 2019 · Score: 74/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$1.99M
Rental Yield
3.4%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1300/wk
Median Unit Price
$981K
Population
12,960
Days on Market
43 days
Annual Growth
5.2%

Botany Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$475.69/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$69K
AI Investment Analysis

Botany NSW Investment Brief

BUY3.4% gross yield on a $1,990,685 median.

THE MARKET

Botany has compounded at 2.2%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,785,452 in 2021 is worth $1,990,685 today. Properties are sitting on market for 43 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,219,510 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,990,685 | Units: $981,008
  • Gross yield: 3.4% | Net yield: 1.9%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 2.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 12,960 | Owner-occupier rate: 60% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,300/wk | Days on market: 43 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $476/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$69,451/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $67,600/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Domestic Airport station 2.1km away

BULL CASE

If Botany maintains 4%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,289,288 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Botany pull back 10-15% from $1,990,685, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth
  • Campsie (NSW): $1,865,686 median, 2.3% yield, 1.5% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Botany presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 3.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current recovery phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $1,791,616$2,189,754
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Inner/middle ring location (9.2km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (38% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (4611 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
3.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
3.2%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
2.8%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 2.2% + 10yr CAGR 4.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (4.4%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (4611 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green4 yellow3 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
43 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1300 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
2.21 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
4.07 high impact
1yr Price Growth
5.2 medium impact
Population Growth
4.44 high impact
Median Household Income
2363 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
45 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
9.2 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
9 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
59.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.4 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.9 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

472

2020

1,069

2021

739

2022

804

2023

1,527

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2019

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 8 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

13,467

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

7/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Botany NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1300/wk median rent for Botany. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Botany PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.2/10
Sth Sydney HS
SecondaryGovernment
6.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

Analyse a Property in Botany

Get instant STR rules, granny flat feasibility, rental yield, and full investment strategy comparison for any address in Botany.

Analyse a Property →

Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.