Bondi NSW Property Investment

Waverley · 2026 · Score: 71/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$4.42M
Rental Yield
2.4%
Vacancy Rate
1.3%
Median Weekly Rent
$2000/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.47M
Population
10,411
Days on Market
42 days
Annual Growth
7.1%

Bondi Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$551.06/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$80K
AI Investment Analysis

Bondi NSW Investment Brief

BUY2.4% gross yield on a $4,422,566 median.

THE MARKET

Bondi has compounded at 6.7%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $3,197,807 in 2021 is worth $4,422,566 today. Properties are sitting on market for 42 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $6,116,408 by 2031.

  • Median house: $4,422,566 | Units: $1,468,441
  • Gross yield: 2.4% | Net yield: 0.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.7%/yr | 3yr forecast: 12.1%/yr
  • Population: 10,411 | Owner-occupier rate: 41% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.3% (improving) | Rental demand: Very High
  • Median weekly rent: $2,000/wk | Days on market: 42 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $551/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$80,455/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $104,000/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Bondi Beach Coastal Protection Works (under_construction)
  • Sydney Metro - Sydenham to Bankstown Line Extension (completed)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Transport: Bondi Junction station 1.2km away

BULL CASE

If Bondi maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 0.9%, median prices could reach $5,085,951 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bondi pull back 10-15% from $4,422,566, with vacancy rising to 2.3% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Burraneer (NSW): $3,381,233 median, 2.8% yield, 8.5% 1yr growth
  • Chatswood (NSW): $3,338,902 median, 2.1% yield, 2.5% 1yr growth
  • Strathfield (NSW): $3,912,396 median, 1.7% yield, -3.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Bondi presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and very high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 2.4% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current stable phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $3,980,309$4,864,823
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.0/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.7% CAGR)
Inner/middle ring location (5.4km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
High renter base (56%) — room for tenure upgrade as area improves
Active development pipeline (1122 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.3%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.5%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.7% + 10yr CAGR 7.1%

Growth drivers
  • +Very tight rental market (vacancy 1.3%) — upward price pressure
  • +Premium transport infrastructure — supports long-term capital growth
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (1122 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

9 green3 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.3 high impact
Days on Market
42 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
2000 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.67 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.07 high impact
1yr Price Growth
7.1 medium impact
Population Growth
0.12 high impact
Median Household Income
2896 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.9 medium impact
Public Transport Score
8.5 medium impact
School Zone Quality
8.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
5.42 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
40.9 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.35 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.85 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

231

2020

208

2021

416

2022

115

2023

152

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2026

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

32,693

Education (IEO)

10/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bondi NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $2000/wk median rent for Bondi. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bellevue Hill PS
PrimaryGovernment
8.9/10
Rose Bay SC
SecondaryGovernment
8.1/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.