Bedgerabong NSW Property Investment
Weddin · 2871 · Score: 47/100 · Caution
Bedgerabong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Bedgerabong NSW Investment Brief
CAUTION — $624,000–$930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 35.9%/yr growth over 5 years.
THE MARKET
Bedgerabong has compounded at 35.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $624,000–$930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 60 days (buyers have negotiating room).
- Median house: $624,000–$930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
- Gross yield: 2.4% | Net yield: 0.8%
- 5yr price CAGR: 35.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 127 | Owner-occupier rate: 67% | Affluence: Below Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $420/wk | Days on market: 60 (worsening)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $511/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$74,624/yr
- vs long-term rent: $21,840/yr (+242% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Forbes Railway Station station 29.0km away
BULL CASE
If Bedgerabong maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,069,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bedgerabong pull back 10-15% from $930,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Blackett (NSW): $920,447 median, 2.9% yield, 9.7% 1yr growth
- Dharruk (NSW): $909,451 median, 3.1% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
- Bidwill (NSW): $931,236 median, 2.9% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Bedgerabong carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A boom market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.
- Entry range: $837,000 – $1,023,000
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 35.9% + 10yr CAGR 19.9%
- −Population decline (-0.8%/yr) — demand headwind
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
13
2020
12
2021
3
2022
10
2023
6
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2871
Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage
Population
8,965
Education (IEO)
4/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
4/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Bedgerabong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $420/wk median rent for Bedgerabong. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Analyse a Property in Bedgerabong
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.