Bedgerabong NSW Property Investment

Weddin · 2871 · Score: 47/100 · Caution

Median House Price
$930K
Rental Yield
2.4%
Vacancy Rate
3.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$420/wk
Median Unit Price
N/A
Population
127
Days on Market
60 days
Annual Growth
N/A

Bedgerabong Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$511.12/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$75K
AI Investment Analysis

Bedgerabong NSW Investment Brief

CAUTION$624,000$930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) median with 35.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Bedgerabong has compounded at 35.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $624,000$930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 60 days (buyers have negotiating room).

  • Median house: $624,000$930,000 (sources disagree, range shown — do NOT quote a single number) | Units: $0
  • Gross yield: 2.4% | Net yield: 0.8%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 35.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 127 | Owner-occupier rate: 67% | Affluence: Below Average
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
  • Median weekly rent: $420/wk | Days on market: 60 (worsening)
  • Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $511/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$74,624/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $21,840/yr (+242% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
  • Transport: Forbes Railway Station station 29.0km away

BULL CASE

If Bedgerabong maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,069,500 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bedgerabong pull back 10-15% from $930,000, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Blackett (NSW): $920,447 median, 2.9% yield, 9.7% 1yr growth
  • Dharruk (NSW): $909,451 median, 3.1% yield, 7.5% 1yr growth
  • Bidwill (NSW): $931,236 median, 2.9% yield, 7.6% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Bedgerabong carries elevated risk that outweighs potential returns at current levels. A boom market combined with moderate vacancy risk warrants caution. Avoid new acquisitions unless significant discount to median pricing is achievable. Re-evaluate if vacancy falls below 2.5% or annual price growth exceeds 3%.

  • Entry range: $837,000$1,023,000
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals5.2/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Strong capital growth (35.9% CAGR) — above national average
Moderate development activity (44 approvals)

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
14.2%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
13.1%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
11.4%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 35.9% + 10yr CAGR 19.9%

Headwinds
  • Population decline (-0.8%/yr) — demand headwind

Suburb Metric Thresholds

4 green3 yellow8 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
3 high impact
Days on Market
60 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
420 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
35.86 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
19.85 high impact
1yr Price Growth
No data medium impact
Population Growth
-0.84 high impact
Median Household Income
1249 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3.8 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.4 medium impact
Distance to CBD
329.75 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
3 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
67.2 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
2.35 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.85 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

13

2020

12

2021

3

2022

10

2023

6

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2871

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 3 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

8,965

Education (IEO)

4/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

4/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bedgerabong NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $420/wk median rent for Bedgerabong. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bedgerabong PS
PrimaryGovernment
5.4/10
Forbes HS
SecondaryGovernment
3.3/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.